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社会控制视角下青少年犯罪影响因素研究

Research on the Influencing Factors of Juvenile Delinquency under the Perspective of Social Control

刑事司法科学与治理 / 2024,5(1)：97-104 / 2024-06-05 169 273

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• 作者： 朱文畅     
• 单位：

  中南财经政法大学刑事司法学院，武汉

• 关键词： 青少年犯罪；社会控制；刑罚的确定性；协整模型
• Juvenile delinquency; Social control; Certainty of punishment; Cointegration model
• 摘要： 近年来，青少年犯罪已成为不可忽视的社会现象。本研究以社会控制理论为分析视角，运用犯罪经济学的研究方法，以1997—2021年间的青少年犯罪数据为基础，通过建立协整模型，分析城乡家庭人均可支配收入之比、高中毛入学率、公安机关破案率、法院免刑率、青少年人口占总人口的比重对青少年犯罪的影响。结果显示，高中毛入学率、公安机关破案率与青少年犯罪率呈正向变化，法院免刑率与青少年犯罪率呈反向变化，青少年人口占总人口的比重对青少年犯罪率的影响不显著。根据模型分析结论，为降低青少年犯罪率，可以通过优化社会分配制度、提高青少年受教育水平、坚持青少年司法的宽严相济等措施来实现。
• In recent years, juvenile delinquency has become a social phenomenon that cannot be ignored. Takingthe social control theory as the analysis perspective and applying the research method of criminal economics,this study analyses the influence of the ratio of per capita disposable income of urban and rural families, the grossenrolment rate of high school, the detection rate of public security organs, the exemption rate of the court, and theproportion of the juvenile population to the total population on juvenile delinquency by setting up a cointegrationmodel using the juvenile delinquency data from the period of 1997 to 2021. The results show that the grossenrolment rate in high school, the detection rate of public security organs and the juvenile crime rate changepositively, the court exemption rate and the juvenile crime rate change negatively, and the proportion of juvenilepopulation in the total population does not have a significant effect on the juvenile crime rate. According to theconclusion of the model analysis, in order to reduce the juvenile crime rate, it can be achieved by optimising thesocial distribution system, improving the education level of juveniles, and insisting on the leniency and severity ofjuvenile justice.
• DOI： https://doi.org/10.35534/cjsg.0501012
• 引用： 朱文畅．社会控制视角下青少年犯罪影响因素研究［J］．刑事司法科学与治理，2024，5（1）：97-104．